Wikileaks: Egypt's Mubarak Likely to Remain in Office for Life
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 02:08
A cable released on the Wikileaks website and reported on by Britain's Guardian newspaper quotes a U.S. envoy as saying Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak may remain in office for life.
The Guardian says the information is in a May 2009 secret cable that U.S. ambassador to Cairo Margaret Scobey sent to U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
The newspaper quotes Scobey as saying Mr. Mubarak will probably seek re-election next year and would "inevitably" win. She said the 82-year-old leader is "most likely to die in office," rather than voluntarily step down.
According to the Guardian, Ambassador Scobey also described the Egyptian leader, who has been president since 1981, as a political survivor who maintained his long grip on power by avoiding risks.
The newspaper also quotes Scobey as saying Mr. Mubarak's son, Gamal, as the person most likely to succeed him.
The Guardian released the information Thursday, a day after leading Egyptian opposition figure Mohammed ElBaradei called for a boycott of the 2011 presidential elections.
The Nobel Peace Prize laureate called Egypt's election process a "farce" in a video message on his Facebook website.
Earlier this month, Mr. Mubarak's National Democratic Party swept to victory in parliamentary elections, after the country's two main opposition groups boycotted a second round of voting to protest alleged fraud.
Wikileaks: Voronin no longer expects Russians to do anything about Transnistria
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 01:15"Without responding directly, Saakashvili said Moldovan President Veronin (Voronin) had told him that he no longer expected the Russians to do anything about Transnistria to resolve the problem, and he would now approach the Europeans for more assistance," quoted from the document.
Wikileaks: U.S. Ambassador in Bucharest made efforts to persuade the Romanian authorities to buy F-16
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 00:51WikiLeaks: Terrorists Targeted Hong Kong During Olympics
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 00:06
WikiLeaks details unsuccessful U.S. efforts to modernize Cairo's military strategy.
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 00:49
Wikileaks: Serbia, Croatia, Bosnia, Kosovo also mentioned – updates daily!
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 07:00
[Roland Galharague, MFA
A/S-equivalent for Continental Europe] asked that the USG work together with
the EU to discourage the Serbians from proposing a new U.N.
resolution on Kosovo, stating that Serbian Foreign Minister
Jeremic “seems to believe Serbia can win on Kosovo and win EU
entry. We need to let him know this is not true.” Right
now, Galharague reported, “the Serbs are furious with us (the
French)” in response to the demarche the GOF delivered in
Belgrade in early February (reftel) about Serbia’s possible
plans for a U.N. resolution. “We delivered the message in
very forceful terms.” In fact, the Serbs interpreted the
demarche as a major change in position, Galharague reported.The EU had thus far maintained the position that the issues
of Kosovo and Serbian entry into the EU were not formally
linked. “There was no formal conditionality,” Galharague
said, adding that the Serbs now understand that to be a
member of the EU they must eventually recognize Kosovo. “We
told them we do not want another Cyprus,” he explained,
referring to Cyprus’ controversial EU accession in 2004 as a
divided island where EU legislation remains partly
“suspended” in the northern part of the island which is
outside of the government in Nicosia’s control. Nonetheless,
Galharague predicted the Serbs will likely go ahead with the
U.N. resolution in any case, and the USG and the EU will be
forced to oppose it.Furthermore, Galharague asserted, before the
Serbs join the EU, they will need to resolve key issues with
Kosovo in the fields of justice, police, customs, transport,
agriculture, and also any differences over names and
terminology. The best way for Serbia to address issues
related to Kosovo is by working with the European Union Rule
of Law Mission in Kosovo (EULEX). “At the end of the day,
though,” he reiterated, “Serbia must recognize Kosovo if it
wants to join the EU.”
During a December 12 meeting with the Ambassador,
Council of Europe (COE) Secretary General Terry Davis
complained of what he described as continued NATO
unresponsiveness to COE requests for access to KFOR-run
detention centers in Kosovo. He claimed he had sent seven
separate letters to NATO SYG de Hoop Sheffer, none of which
had elicited a satisfactory response. Davis described Kosovo
as a “black hole” for the COE Committee on the Prevention of
Torture, notwithstanding the fact that the COE charter gives
the organization the right to visit any detention place in
member states. Given NATO’s obsructionism, Davis told the
Ambassador—“as a courtesy,” he said—that he would have
no/no choice but to “go public” over the issue in early 2006.¶3. (C) Davis concluded that others, but not he, had begun to
“connect the dots” and were speculating that Kosovo might be
a site for secret CIA prisons free from international
scrutiny. We note that on November 26, Le Monde carried an
article in which the COE’s Human Rights Commissioner, Alvaro
Gil-Robles, is reported as claiming that a September 2002
visit to Camp Bondsteel had given him the impression that it
may have served as a detainee camp. This story was rebutted
the following day in Le Figaro and Le Monde by the French
general who was in charge of KFOR at the time, who stated
that all interrogations of suspects at Bondsteel had been
conducted in the presence of NATO—that is to say, French—officers.
¶12. (C) FM Kouchner said that Bosnia remained a
problem, but, it was important to simply “follow the
road.” It was important to push the Serbian government
closer to the EU, though he conceded this was difficult
due to Dutch and Belgian objections to the failure of
the Serbs to hand over Ratko Mladic to ICTY. Presumably
referring to EULEX, he said there was success on the
ground in Kosovo as the two sides were not killing each
other and concluded that things were not in a bad place
for the moment
Spanish Ambassador Eduardo Aguirre to Daniel Fata, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for European and NATO Policy, US Department of Defense on Spanish Kosovo troops:
In the Balkans, where its troops have served for more than 15 years, Spain has shown its ability to maintain troops for the long-term. Right now, however, we need keep making our case to keep troops in Kosovo. For domestic political reasons and fear of provoking Russia, Spain is ambivalent about the current direction of Kosovo policy. So long as there is a UN resolution authorizing the Ahtissari plan, Spain will maintain its troops in KFOR. If the UN fails to agree on a new resolution, Spain has said that it would have to seriously consider pulling its troops out, but has emphasized that it would do this only in extremis and only in careful consultation with allies. We need to keep the pressure on, reminding Spain that NATO has a critical role and that we can’t let the Russians drive a wedge between the US and Europe on issues like this.
MFA Assistant Minister Mohamad Al-Rumaihi told Ambassador December 20 that Qatar’s IMF and World Bank votes in favor of Kosovo show Qatar’s true sympathies on recognizing Kosovo. The Russian President, however, has asked Qatar to “go slow” in announcing recognition, he said. Out of sensitivity to Russian concerns, Al-Rumaihi said, Qatar has done so. He encouraged Secretary Clinton to ask HBJ about the timing of Qatar’s eventual recognition, noting that that Qatar had been approached by organizers of a UK project about using its good offices with the Government of Kosovo to protect Kosovo’s Christian heritage once Qatar formally recognizes its independence.
”[Elysee Diplomatic Advisor Jean-David] Levitte noted that the EULEX mission is having diplomatic problems with the Kosovar government and public after signing two technical protocols with Serbia. They are hoping to ensure continued calm as Kosovo heads into municipal elections. [Assistant Secretary Philip H.] Gordon stated that the Kosovars will have to accept the protocols but that it should be clearly explained that these are technical agreements that have no impact on Kosovo’s independent status. Levitte also criticized Serbian FM Jeremic, saying that he is doing nothing to encourage Serb return or participation in Kosovo’s government. Levitte noted that Jeremic “makes big promises” every time he comes to France, but doesn’t follow through. Levitte no longer meets with him and does not consider him to be the “modern face of Belgrade” that he purports to be.
[ Turkish Foreign Ministry Undersecretary Feridun] Sinirlioglu registered the Turkey Government’s determination to resist perceived EU efforts to exclude Turkey from the Balkans, particularly Bosnia. He identified effecting rapprochement between Bosnia and Serbia as Turkey’s immediate diplomatic goal for the region. Towards that end, Sinirlioglu said, we convinced Haris Siladjdzic, who had been in Ankara the day before, to cease references to Serbian “genocide.” The United States and Turkey have “agreed to disagree” on the Membership Action Plan (MAP) for Bosnia; nevertheless, “we value your involvement in the Balkans.”
—We encourage you to recognize an independent Kosovo, as
Saudi Arabia and others have now done. We certainly
appreciate your votes in favor of Kosovo in the IMF and World
Bank. They are important precursors to formal recognition,
but when will you take that final step?
Guido Westerwelle also spoke against any type of automatic decision in favor of membership for Turkey. There was also general agreement that the EU is not ready for new members at this time beyond Croatia
Chancellery National Security Advisor Christoph Heusgen revealed that Serb President Tadic was coming to Berlin the week of November 16 for consultations. He noted that while Tadic always claimed to be tough on Republika Srpska PM Dodic, he needed to be tougher. While expressing pessimism about whether it would ever be possible to turn Bosnia into a “working state,” Heusgen agreed it was important to keep trying
Wikileaks : Romania - Transit country for CIA flights, prostitutes supplier and victim of Russia's energy policy
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 00:45The documents revealed by Wikileaks in the press reveal four new mentions of Romania. According to Hotnews.ro, in two documents from the US Embassy to Paris, Romania is mentioned as a source of prostitutes and a victim of Russian and Ukrainian energy policy. Documents also refer to American military HQ in Romania and Bulgaria. Cables released note Pierre Moscovici's comment in 2006 about Romania's joining the EU.
Romania or Bucharest appear in cables sent by US Embassy to the world. Most refer to the NATO 2008 Summit in Bucharest and mention the capital as a location for the event.
February 1, 2007: a document refers to Romania in a cable of US Embassy to Madrid. The cable presents an invetigation over CIA flights in Europe. The cable mentions a CIA flight on the route Guantanmo - Tenerife - Constanta, Romania on April 12, 2004
In 2006, Romanian daily Evenimentul Zilei published an investigation showing that there were about 10 CIA flights entering the country. The planes, part of CIA were suspected of transferring, on the globe, terrorist detainees.
The four cables involving Romania:
October 22, 2009 A cable presents an information for FBI director Robert Mueller reading that France is a destination of prostitute victims and Romania appears as a supplier of prostitutes.
June 26, 2007 A cable presents a discussion among American and French diplomats. One of the French diplomats comment that Russians could argue that American military bases in Bulgaria and Romania are destined not only for trainings but also for new implementations. The comment is not explained nor commented.
June 5, 2006. US Emabssy to Paris informs about a talk between Pierre Moscovici and Victoria Nuland, US Ambassador to NATO. The cable reads that Moscovici said that Romania and Bulgaria will join the EU in 2007 but the joining will be accompanied by heated debates.
February 5, 2009 Hillary Clinton meets French Foreign Affairs Bernard Kouchner and talks include a mention that Romania and Poland were completely cut off from the energy policy and Russian and Ukrained were terrible. Kouchner said that a group of Europeans attempt to ensure a pipe for one country or the other.
Wikileaks: US advises Belgium on how 'to attain prominence in Europe'
0 comentarii Publicat de Mr. Miaghy la 02:40This really is priceless.
The leaked cables appear to reveal discussionsbetween various countries on whether they would take prisoners released from the Guantánamo Bay detention facility:
When American diplomats pressed other countries to resettle detainees, they became reluctant players in a State Department version of “Let’s Make a Deal.” Slovenia was told to take a prisoner if it wanted to meet with President Obama, while the island nation of Kiribati was offered incentives worth millions of dollars to take in Chinese Muslim detainees, cables from diplomats recounted. The Americans, meanwhile, suggested that accepting more prisoners would be “a low-cost way for Belgium to attain prominence in Europe. ...”If nothing else, this is quite an enlightening insight into how the US views EU politics and relations between member states: take a low-threat Guantánamo
It will take rather more than that for Belgium to attain prominence in Europe.
But this was the 'low-cost' option.
Alternatively, they could incur huge debt, say 11 times the size of GDP; bankrupt their national treasury; make pledges to creditors which amount to 220 per cent of the country’s annual economic output; call in the IMF and the ECB; arrange a bail-out; and then default on their agreements.
Belgium will then be as prominent as Greece and Ireland.
But that is the 'high-cost' option.
As the US State Department points out, taking a Guantánamo inmate is a lot cheaper.
Unless, of course, he starts blowing you up.
一则据说的最新消息说,维基解密::中国准备放弃朝鲜,,新一代领导人倾向支持南北韩统一。在我看来,如果属实,这是一则好消息。
[…]
韩战之后,中国一直为朝鲜的国内灾害、饥荒、扩军备战买单不说,还要为其发展核武器、惹是生非、耍流氓、搞无赖买单。如果再不停止做这种冤大头行为,总有一天,中国会因为朝鲜而大出血![…]中国自己的麻烦已经够多,为朝鲜买单的愚蠢行为,该被停止了!
[…]
Since the end of the Korean War, China has foot the bill through all of North Korea's natural disasters, famine and arms expansions, without a peep. While they were developing nuclear weapons, stirring up trouble, playing rogue and thug, China kept footing the bill, still without complaint. If we don't stop letting them take advantage of us, then there's going to come a day when China will have to pay a bloody price for North Korea! […] China has enough problems of its own; paying for North Korea's is just stupid and needs to stop!
延坪岛事件发生后,日美韩3方在对朝施压的同时均一致强调:“必须让对朝有重要影响力的中国发挥积极的作用”,无形中把压力球抛给了中方——“你是朝鲜的后台,你看该怎么办吧”。不料中国突出奇招,要求六方团长坐下来一起商量对策。对此,《朝日新闻》称:“本想逼着中国对朝鲜施加压力,从而进一步孤立朝方。可结果是‘中国提案’把球踢回来了。”
国际问题学者分析指出:“当年伊拉克战争,美国人收集的情报称伊拉克藏有大规模杀伤性武器,从而误导了政府决策。因此我们也不能对于‘维基解密’的文件过度迷信,应当高度存疑。尤其在当下,朝鲜半岛局势紧张,西方大肆渲染所谓中朝秘闻,将对局势产生不容小觑的影响,它们尤其可能发挥挑拨中朝关系的作用。”
暂不考虑朝鲜出于自卫还击韩国这件事情本身,先谈谈什么状态下的朝鲜符合中国的国家利益。在美国咄咄逼人的炮舰外交攻势下,很难想象一旦朝鲜陷于战争之中以及被美国入侵之后,会出现一个比目前伊拉克局势更加乐观的朝鲜,那种成天无数人体炸弹阴云笼罩下的伊拉克其周边的国家会安宁么?如果中国周边出现一个这样盛产人体炸弹的国家,中国如何自处?或者像美国宣传朝鲜是世界毒品制造主要国家的那样,再出现一个如同被美国势力掌握后的越南、柬埔寨和老挝那样的毒品环境,中国何以为安?
还是要再深究一下,美国政府的主要敌人是朝鲜吗?是个人都知道,中国、一个团结的中国、一个繁荣昌盛的团结在中国共产党领导下的中国才是美国政府的主要敌人。从太多的美国政府发表的言论中,都可以得知一个准确的信息,即只有一个分裂的中国,一个没有核心领导维护中国国家利益的中国,一个由买办阶级统治下的中国才是符合美国政府利益的,美国人可以这么看这么做,中国人不能这么看这么做。因为中国人有自己的国家利益,中国的国家利益与美国政府的利益是针锋相对的。
如果阿桑齐揭示的秘密都是真实的,被泄密、被揭露的国家虚心接受监督就完了,何必还要气势汹汹?用“国家机密”这个托词来反对阿桑齐也没道理。首先以美国为例,水门事件也是因为有人向媒体泄露机密而导致尼克松下台。其次,人们说透明化和公开化是民主的基本要求之一,美国为何要隐藏很多机密不让民众知道?
[…]
一旦有阿桑齐这样的人开始揭露真相,美国等“受伤害”的国家,因为都是同一利益共同体,于是便不论是非对错,不论真实与否,只想把阿桑齐这个监督者的嘴巴封起来。我们还是回到老问题:如果阿桑齐的嘴巴真的被封了,国际社会的民主监督、舆论自由如何体现?维基泄密的行为,只是民主监督和言论自由的具体体现之一。如果连这点都做不到,对于美国的国际活动,谁能实施监督?人们是否可以说:美国在国际社会不需要监督?
而这次,当美国众议院指责维基解密为“恐怖组织”,当俄国放言要让其消失,当中国像屏蔽Twitter和Facebook一样将其屏蔽时,并没有多少人指责这些政府限制网络自由。或许,即便在很多坚定地网络自由捍卫者眼中,维基解密的做法,也已超过了“自由”的界限,应该受到控制;否则,一旦事态进一步严重,真正引发现实中的政治、经济纠纷,恐怕这又将成为政府管制互联网的重要理由。
然而,解密行动却没有任何停止的计划,甚至维基解密还有“恐怖化”的倾向:其创始人阿桑奇如今已经和本拉登一样不知所踪了。在未来一段时间,更多的、涉及范围更广的机密文件被公开,恐怕是无法避免的事情。这也提醒着我们,虽然互联网已经存在了近二十年,也一直在追求“自治”,但在目前看来,它还没有能力做到完全自治,现实世界中的政府干预,尤其是法律制约,仍旧是不可缺少的。另一方面,政府们的雷声大雨点小也让我们看见,即便是处理这类问题上有着丰富经验的美国政府,在面对新情况时也会束手无策,他们仍旧没有找到一个治理互联网的合适的途径。至于中国,面对这样的问题,“墙”则更是掩耳盗铃,毫无作用了。
所以,对于那些将互联网视作自由王国的人来说,与其完全与政府、与法律对抗,不如与政府、与立法者一同去探寻互联网世界的边界,去明确互联网与政府各自的权利与义务,并用法律进行保障;这无论是对于寻求自治的互联网,还是对于希望预防互联网给现实世界制造事端的政府来说,都是有益的。当然,这一切需要有法治社会作为前提。
奥巴马曾经说过:谁都不喜欢 别人说自己坏话,但开放的民主自由是发展的前提。(09年访华 演讲)
可笑的是,正是美国施压,亚马逊服务器居然不给维基解密提供承载服务。靠。居然美国也来这招,我还以为就中国有!其实美国也不是什么好货,威胁到美国的信息就给屏蔽了,那那些威胁到中国安全的信息,中国屏蔽有何不可。
很多人对美国公司在政府的影响下纷纷远离维基泄密表示不满。因为从它们对维基泄密的反应可以看出来,在西方国家自称最民主之内:第一,不能以后完全相信并依赖提供网上服务的公司;第二,这几件事说明要审查互联网比想象的要更容易。即使是美国政府的律师都对和维基泄密打官司成功的可能性保持保守,说明即使法律上政府虽然可能不能对”言论自由”作挑战,但经济上还是可以打伤维基泄密的。但相信在不远的未来,美国政府一定会根据电报门这件事情更改对互联网的管理,还可能更加打击泄露机密的人,到时候不知道维基泄密会是怎么反应。
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